Number 4

In Poker Lotto under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 429 draws, 5 from 1–13.

165times drawn · chance expected 165 +0.00σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 3% for any number

2.5average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

15longest completed wait · 17% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 165 times in 429 draws against 165.0 expected, +0.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 165 times in 429 draws · average wait 2.5 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest39 · chance 42.0
2nd smallest90 · chance 84.0
3rd smallest34 · chance 36.0
4th smallest2 · chance 3.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 55.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 8 11 3 13 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	2	1st	4 7 10 11 12
2026-10-01	5	2nd	3 4 5 7 8
2026-09-26	1	2nd	1 4 5 8 11
2026-09-25	1	2nd	2 4 9

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-07-31	1	2nd	2 4 8 9 13
2026-07-30	2	1st	4 5 6 8 12
2026-07-28	5	2nd	3 4 7 13 13
2026-07-23	1	2nd	3 4 5 8 11
2026-07-22	8	2nd	3 4 5 8 10
2026-07-14	6	1st	4 7 8 10 13
2026-07-08	1	2nd	3 4 5 9 10
2026-07-07	1	2nd	1 4 5 6 6
2026-07-06	2	2nd	3 4 6 7 11
2026-07-04	1	2nd	2 4 6 12 12
2026-07-03	1	2nd	3 4 10 11 13
2026-07-02	1	2nd	2 4 9 13 13
2026-07-01	0	1st	4 8 13 13
2026-07-01	5	1st	4 8 13 13
2026-06-26	0	1st	4 5 7 8
2026-06-26	5	1st	4 5 7 8
2026-06-21	1	2nd	1 4 6 8 9
2026-06-20	4	2nd	3 4 8 11 13
2026-06-16	2	1st	4 5 9 11 12
2026-06-14	1	2nd	1 4 5 8 10
2026-06-13	1	1st	4 5 11 12 13
2026-06-12	1	3rd	2 3 4 8 11
2026-06-11	1	1st	4 8 10 12 13
2026-06-10	1	3rd	1 2 4 10 11
2026-06-09	3	2nd	1 4 5 9 9
2026-06-06	1	1st	4 7 7 11 13
2026-06-05	2	3rd	1 2 4 6 11
2026-06-03	0	2nd	3 4 7 9
2026-06-03	2	2nd	3 4 7 9
2026-06-01	3	3rd	1 3 4 9 11
2026-05-29	5	1st	4 6 6 8 11
2026-05-24	1	2nd	1 4 5 10 13
2026-05-23	2	1st	4 5 5 6 8
2026-05-21	0	2nd	3 4 7 12
2026-05-21	2	2nd	3 4 7 12
2026-05-19	1	1st	4 5 6 8 10
2026-05-18	1	1st	4 5 7 8 9
2026-05-17	2	2nd	2 4 6 10 13
2026-05-15	7	2nd	3 4 8 11 13
2026-05-08	1	2nd	2 4 6 12 13
2026-05-07	2	2nd	1 4 9 9 13
2026-05-05	4	2nd	1 4 5 12 13
2026-05-01	5	3rd	2 3 4 11 12
2026-04-26	4	2nd	1 4 8 9 12
2026-04-22	3	2nd	2 4 5 9 13
2026-04-19	5	2nd	1 4 6 9 12
2026-04-14	2	2nd	2 4 5 6 6
2026-04-12	1	1st	4 7 9 11 11
2026-04-11	4	2nd	2 4 5 7 10
2026-04-07	1	1st	4 5 8 9 10
2026-04-06	3	3rd	1 1 4 5 6
2026-04-03	2	2nd	1 4 6 10 13
2026-04-01	0	2nd	2 4 5 13
2026-04-01	3	2nd	2 4 5 13
2026-03-29	0	2nd	2 4 6 11
2026-03-29	1	2nd	2 4 6 11
2026-03-28	9	2nd	1 4 7 9 12
2026-03-19	3	2nd	3 4 5 11 13
2026-03-16	2	3rd	1 2 4 7 8
2026-03-14	2	2nd	1 4 7 10 12
2026-03-12	4	3rd	2 3 4 9 10
2026-03-08	2	2nd	1 4 8 9 11
2026-03-06	1	3rd	2 3 4 10 10
2026-03-05	3	2nd	2 4 11 11 11
2026-03-02	0	2nd	3 4 7 12
2026-03-02	3	2nd	3 4 7 12
2026-02-27	1	1st	4 5 6 8 11
2026-02-26	4	2nd	1 4 5 5 12
2026-02-22	2	3rd	1 3 4 5 8
2026-02-20	6	2nd	2 4 5 11 11
2026-02-14	1	1st	4 7 9 11 13
2026-02-13	5	2nd	2 4 5 6 11
2026-02-08	0	3rd	1 1 4 7
2026-02-08	1	3rd	1 1 4 7
2026-02-07	2	4th	1 3 3 4 13
2026-02-05	14	2nd	3 4 10 11 13
2026-01-22	1	1st	4 8 8 10 12
2026-01-21	1	3rd	1 1 4 10 11
2026-01-20	7	1st	4 6 6 7 8
2026-01-13	1	2nd	1 4 9 13 13
2026-01-12	1	1st	4 7 8 10 11
2026-01-11	0	2nd	1 4 6 10
2026-01-11	12	2nd	1 4 6 10
2025-12-30	2	1st	4 6 8 9 12
2025-12-28	1	2nd	1 4 10 11 12
2025-12-27	4	3rd	2 2 4 8 12
2025-12-23	1	1st	4 10 11 12 12
2025-12-22	2	2nd	1 4 10 11 13
2025-12-20	0	3rd	3 3 4 9
2025-12-20	2	3rd	3 3 4 9
2025-12-18	1	2nd	1 4 5 6 9
2025-12-17	2	1st	4 6 7 8 12
2025-12-15	2	2nd	2 4 5 8 13
2025-12-13	3	3rd	2 2 4 5 7
2025-12-10	0	1st	4 9 9 13
2025-12-10	3	1st	4 9 9 13
2025-12-07	0	3rd	1 3 4 6
2025-12-07	3	3rd	1 3 4 6
2025-12-04	5	2nd	3 4 7 7 11
2025-11-29	4	2nd	1 4 8 10 11
2025-11-25	2	2nd	1 4 6 10 11
2025-11-23	1	3rd	2 2 4 9 13
2025-11-22	1	1st	4 5 5 6 13
2025-11-21	3	1st	4 8 10 11 11
2025-11-18	1	2nd	3 4 5 9 13
2025-11-17	0	2nd	2 4 8 10
2025-11-17	2	2nd	2 4 8 10
2025-11-15	5	2nd	1 4 5 9 13
2025-11-10	2	3rd	1 2 4 8 12
2025-11-08	0	2nd	1 4 9 12
2025-11-08	1	2nd	1 4 9 12
2025-11-07	3	1st	4 5 8 11 12
2025-11-04	1	2nd	2 4 6 12 13
2025-11-03	1	1st	4 5 8 10 11
2025-11-02	3	3rd	2 3 4 12 13
2025-10-30	2	2nd	3 4 8 13 13
2025-10-28	4	2nd	3 4 5 5 12
2025-10-24	1	4th	1 2 3 4 10
2025-10-23	6	1st	4 8 9 9 10
2025-10-17	5	2nd	2 4 9 12 13
2025-10-12	3	2nd	1 4 7 11 11
2025-10-09	1	1st	4 5 10 11 12
2025-10-08	1	3rd	1 2 4 10 13
2025-10-07	4	2nd	1 4 6 11 12
2025-10-03	9	2nd	1 4 6 6 9
2025-09-24	0	3rd	3 3 4 13
2025-09-24	1	3rd	3 3 4 13
2025-09-23	9	2nd	3 4 6 9 12
2025-09-14	4	2nd	2 4 8 10 13
2025-09-10	1	2nd	2 4 7 11 13
2025-09-09	2	2nd	2 4 8 8 11
2025-09-07	1	3rd	1 2 4 8 9
2025-09-06	4	3rd	2 3 4 12 13
2025-09-02	6	2nd	3 4 7 11 12
2025-08-27	3	1st	4 5 6 7 8
2025-08-24	1	2nd	2 4 6 8 12
2025-08-23	1	1st	4 6 7 12 12
2025-08-22	7	3rd	3 3 4 11 13
2025-08-15	2	2nd	2 4 7 8 9
2025-08-13	1	1st	4 5 7 9 12
2025-08-12	—	2nd	2 4 8 9 13