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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/52 · since Apr 2026 rules — 49 draws, 7 from 1–52.
Drawn 8 times in 49 draws against 6.6 expected, +0.59σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 8 times in 49 draws · average wait 5.6 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 20 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 7/52 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-07-14 | 2 | 3rd | 4184042474950 |
| 2026-07-07 | 6 | 6th | 11132022354044 |
| 2026-06-16 | 8 | 6th | 271315374042 |
| 2026-05-19 | 1 | 6th | 4151929394041 |
| 2026-05-15 | — | 5th | 17183439404950 |