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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec Max under the 7/52 · since Apr 2026 rules — 49 draws, 7 from 1–52.
Drawn 2 times in 49 draws against 6.6 expected, −1.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 32 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 2 times in 49 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 11 · waiting 32 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 41 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 40 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 7/52 tonight whatever it did last week.