Number 10

In Lotto Poker under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 396 draws, 5 from 1–13.

145times drawn · chance expected 152 −0.75σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

2.7average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

16longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 145 times in 396 draws against 152.3 expected, −0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 145 times in 396 draws · average wait 2.7 draws · longest completed wait 16 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest12 · chance 2.6
3rd smallest35 · chance 31.6
4th smallest63 · chance 73.8
5th smallest32 · chance 36.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 48.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 11 12 7 4 13

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	2	4th	1 5 6 10 13
2026-10-03	1	3rd	3 5 10 11 12
2026-09-30	1	3rd	3 8 10 12 13
2026-09-26	4	4th	3 9 9

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-07-04	4	2nd	2 10 12
2026-06-30	3	4th	2 4 6 10 12
2026-06-27	8	3rd	1 6 10 11 12
2026-06-19	5	5th	2 6 7 7 10
2026-06-14	1	5th	2 3 4 5 10
2026-06-13	2	4th	4 4 7 10 11
2026-06-11	2	4th	1 6 9 10 13
2026-06-09	2	4th	2 5 7 10 12
2026-06-07	1	5th	2 3 7 8 10
2026-06-06	1	5th	3 5 7 8 10
2026-06-05	1	4th	1 3 4 10 12
2026-06-04	6	5th	4 6 9 9 10
2026-05-29	0	3rd	3 6 10 13
2026-05-29	1	3rd	3 6 10 13
2026-05-28	1	5th	1 1 2 6 10
2026-05-27	2	5th	1 4 6 6 10
2026-05-25	0	3rd	3 6 10 11
2026-05-25	5	3rd	3 6 10 11
2026-05-20	2	5th	3 4 5 9 10
2026-05-18	2	4th	3 4 9 10 13
2026-05-16	1	3rd	6 7 10 11 12
2026-05-15	2	1st	10 12 12 13 13
2026-05-13	10	4th	3 9 9 10 13
2026-05-03	2	4th	2 3 8 10 13
2026-05-01	1	4th	2 2 3 10 11
2026-04-30	3	3rd	6 7 10 12 13
2026-04-27	1	5th	1 2 3 5 10
2026-04-26	7	5th	5 7 7 9 10
2026-04-19	3	4th	1 2 6 10 12
2026-04-16	0	3rd	2 6 10 12
2026-04-16	4	3rd	2 6 10 12
2026-04-12	1	4th	8 8 9 10 12
2026-04-11	3	4th	1 6 8 10 12
2026-04-08	3	4th	1 3 5 10 13
2026-04-05	4	4th	4 6 9 10 11
2026-04-01	4	5th	2 4 5 7 10
2026-03-28	2	3rd	2 9 10 13 13
2026-03-26	2	5th	4 5 6 7 10
2026-03-24	5	4th	2 2 3 10 12
2026-03-19	5	4th	2 4 8 10 11
2026-03-14	0	3rd	2 4 10 12
2026-03-14	6	3rd	2 4 10 12
2026-03-08	2	3rd	2 3 10 12 13
2026-03-06	16	4th	2 4 6 10 13
2026-02-18	7	4th	2 6 9 10 12
2026-02-11	1	4th	5 5 8 10 12
2026-02-10	0	3rd	2 8 10 12
2026-02-10	1	3rd	2 8 10 12
2026-02-09	6	5th	2 5 7 8 10
2026-02-03	0	3rd	4 7 10 13
2026-02-03	1	3rd	4 7 10 13
2026-02-02	1	5th	3 4 4 9 10
2026-02-01	1	3rd	4 5 10 11 12
2026-01-31	0	4th	4 6 7 10
2026-01-31	12	4th	4 6 7 10
2026-01-19	4	4th	2 9 9 10 13
2026-01-15	1	4th	4 5 5 10 11
2026-01-14	2	4th	5 5 6 10 11
2026-01-12	3	4th	7 8 9 10 11
2026-01-09	1	1st	10 11 11 12 12
2026-01-08	1	4th	4 5 9 10 11
2026-01-07	3	5th	3 6 7 9 10
2026-01-04	1	5th	1 2 7 9 10
2026-01-03	4	5th	5 5 7 8 10
2025-12-30	0	3rd	1 6 10 11
2025-12-30	2	3rd	1 6 10 11
2025-12-28	2	5th	2 4 8 9 10
2025-12-26	3	4th	1 4 8 10 13
2025-12-23	2	5th	2 6 7 9 10
2025-12-21	2	3rd	1 1 10 11 12
2025-12-19	1	4th	2 5 9 10 11
2025-12-18	5	5th	2 4 5 9 10
2025-12-13	1	3rd	2 3 10 11 11
2025-12-12	2	3rd	5 9 10 12 13
2025-12-10	2	4th	2 6 7 10 12
2025-12-08	1	3rd	6 7 10 12 13
2025-12-07	4	4th	1 2 5 10 12
2025-12-03	1	4th	4 6 8 10 12
2025-12-02	1	3rd	4 9 10 11 12
2025-12-01	0	4th	5 5 6 10
2025-12-01	2	4th	5 5 6 10
2025-11-29	4	4th	3 6 8 10 13
2025-11-25	2	4th	2 3 8 10 13
2025-11-23	1	4th	4 5 9 10 11
2025-11-22	3	5th	2 5 6 7 10
2025-11-19	4	5th	1 2 5 7 10
2025-11-15	3	3rd	1 3 10 11 12
2025-11-12	2	5th	3 4 5 8 10
2025-11-10	1	4th	2 3 6 10 12
2025-11-09	0	4th	1 7 9 10
2025-11-09	3	4th	1 7 9 10
2025-11-06	13	4th	2 3 8 10 12
2025-10-24	6	5th	2 2 5 7 10
2025-10-18	1	3rd	2 5 10 11 12
2025-10-17	2	4th	1 4 9 10 13
2025-10-15	3	3rd	7 8 10 11 11
2025-10-12	3	5th	2 4 5 6 10
2025-10-09	4	5th	2 3 4 9 10
2025-10-05	2	4th	6 8 9 10 11
2025-10-03	10	4th	1 3 4 10 11
2025-09-23	3	2nd	9 10 11 13 13
2025-09-20	1	4th	2 3 9 10 11
2025-09-19	3	5th	1 3 7 7 10
2025-09-16	2	4th	1 6 8 10 13
2025-09-14	3	5th	1 2 7 9 10
2025-09-11	1	1st	10 11 12 13 13
2025-09-10	1	3rd	2 9 10 11 12
2025-09-09	1	4th	1 1 5 10 12
2025-09-08	1	4th	4 6 8 10 13
2025-09-07	3	4th	1 7 8 10 11
2025-09-04	1	4th	1 4 8 10 13
2025-09-03	8	2nd	2 10 11 11 13
2025-08-26	2	5th	3 8 8 9 10
2025-08-24	0	2nd	7 10 11
2025-08-24	0	2nd	7 10 11
2025-08-24	2	2nd	7 10 11
2025-08-22	3	4th	5 7 8 10 12
2025-08-19	2	4th	3 4 5 10 13
2025-08-17	2	4th	2 3 5 10 13
2025-08-15	3	4th	6 8 9 10 12
2025-08-12	—	3rd	5 8 10 11 13