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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Max · draw
ResultLotto Max
JackpotCA$50,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026draw 254 of 722 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
Lotto Max was a 7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 253 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 253 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 7 numbers (17, 24, 38, 48) with the draw of 14 September 2021 — its closest relative in 253 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2021): 38 carried over. Chance says 68% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 186 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 179. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 62% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 87% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_4_b — 6,127 winners, 3% more than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 3 | 775,291 | CA$5.00 |
| match_3_b | 81,582 | CA$20.00 |
| Match 4 | 79,141 | CA$20.00 |
| match_4_b | 6,127 | CA$49.00 |
| Match 5 | 3,568 | CA$107 |
| match_5_b | 174 | CA$940 |
| Match 6 | 68 | CA$4,011 |
| match_6_b | 0 | CA$272,720 |
| Match 7 | 0 | CA$50,000,000 |