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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Max · draw
ResultLotto Max
JackpotCA$15,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026draw 238 of 722 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
Lotto Max was a 7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 237 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 7 numbers (6, 21, 31, 34) with the draw of 17 November 2020 — its closest relative in 237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 August 2021): 39 carried over. Chance says 68% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 178 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 179. No two numbers side by side. 62% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 89% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 2,313 winners, 3% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 3 | 515,183 | CA$5.00 |
| match_3_b | 52,379 | CA$20.00 |
| Match 4 | 52,488 | CA$20.00 |
| match_4_b | 3,925 | CA$51.50 |
| Match 5 | 2,313 | CA$111 |
| match_5_b | 121 | CA$912 |
| Match 6 | 33 | CA$5,571 |
| match_6_b | 0 | CA$183,835 |
| Match 7 | 0 | CA$15,000,000 |