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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Max · draw
ResultLotto Max
JackpotCA$20,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026draw 207 of 722 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
Lotto Max was a 7/50 + 1/50 · May 2019 – Apr 2026 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 206 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 206 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 7 numbers (1, 33, 45, 49) with the draw of 15 December 2020 — its closest relative in 206 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 April 2021): 27 carried over. Chance says 68% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 217 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 179. No two numbers side by side. 62% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 93% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_b — 43,725 winners, 3% fewer than the 45k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 3 | 441,533 | CA$5.00 |
| match_3_b | 43,725 | CA$20.00 |
| Match 4 | 45,391 | CA$20.00 |
| match_4_b | 3,294 | CA$52.00 |
| Match 5 | 2,036 | CA$107 |
| match_5_b | 107 | CA$873 |
| Match 6 | 39 | CA$3,991 |
| match_6_b | 0 | CA$155,646 |
| Match 7 | 0 | CA$20,000,000 |