Star 4

In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 160 draws, 1 from 1–7.

20times drawn · chance expected 23 −0.65σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

26longest completed wait · 33% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 20 times in 160 draws against 22.9 expected, −0.65σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 20 times in 160 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest20 · chance 20.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 6 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 3rd most popular of 7. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-12	7	1st	4
2026-09-17	5	1st	4
2026-08-31	12	1st	4
2026-07-20	17	1st	4
2026-05-21	5	1st	4
2026-05-04	2	1st	4
2026-04-27	4	1st	4
2026-04-13	2	1st	4
2026-04-06	1	1st	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/7 tonight whatever it did last week.