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Mega-Sena · draw

Thursday, 4 January 2024

ResultMega-Sena

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 19
  3. 43
  4. 53
  5. 57
  6. 58

JackpotR$2,896,756

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 2,671 of 3,065 under them

← 2023-12-31All recent draws2024-01-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 19 43 53 57 5829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd78th
  • low22th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread39th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 267 of each

16275times
19250times
43277times
53306times
57

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outR$3.8Mto 1.5k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 2,307lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 541%R$1.6M
  • Match 459%R$2.2M
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.07 by chanceR$2,896,756
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

253times
58261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,670 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 53, 57, 58) with the draw of 13 January 2007 — its closest relative in 2,670 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

246

The numbers add up to 246 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 57–58. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 86% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
16≈ 22 by chance
R$98,283
  • Match 41,481≈ 1.5k by chanceR$1,517
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,481 winners, 0% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60R$2,896,756
    Match 516R$98,283
    Match 41,481R$1,517
    Totals1,497—