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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$102,182,286
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1,766 of 3,065 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 177 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,765 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (22, 46, 60) with the draw of 4 December 2013 — its closest relative in 1,765 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 245 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 85% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 7,088 winners, 0% more than the 7.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$102,182,286 |
| Match 5 | 70 | R$75,975 |
| Match 4 | 7,088 | R$1,072 |
| Totals | 7,158 | — |