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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$2,500,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1,351 of 3,064 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Where the money went
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,350 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,264 winners, 0% more than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$2,500,000 |
| Match 5 | 34 | R$35,013 |
| Match 4 | 3,264 | R$521 |
| Totals | 3,298 | — |