LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇺🇸 1-800-GAMBLER🇬🇧 0808 8020 133🇨🇦 1-866-531-2600🇦🇺 1800 858 858all helplines →

Mega-Sena · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2011

ResultMega-Sena

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 43
  5. 53
  6. 59

JackpotR$45,390,782

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1,328 of 3,064 under them

← 2011-10-13All recent draws2011-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 23 27 43 53 5929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd95th
  • low50th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each

10141times
23145times
27125times
43146times
53

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 33Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outR$54.2Mto 14k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 2,298lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.66

Where the money went

  • Match 684%R$45.4M
  • Match 56.7%R$3.6M
  • Match 410%R$5.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.66 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

149times
59132times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,327 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 43, 53) with the draw of 24 September 2011 — its closest relative in 1,327 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

215

The numbers add up to 215 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
R$45,390,782
  • Match 5213≈ 214 by chanceR$16,945
  • Match 414,179≈ 14k by chanceR$364
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 14,179 winners, 0% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61R$45,390,782
    Match 5213R$16,945
    Match 414,179R$364
    Totals14,393—