LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇺🇸 1-800-GAMBLER🇬🇧 0808 8020 133🇨🇦 1-866-531-2600🇦🇺 1800 858 858all helplines →

Mega-Sena · draw

Saturday, 5 February 2011

ResultMega-Sena

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 23
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 51
  6. 54

JackpotR$39,716,030

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1,255 of 3,065 under them

← 2011-02-02All recent draws2011-02-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 23 38 39 51 5429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd78th
  • low22th
  • widest gap47th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each

5151times
23138times
38118times
39108times
51

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 27Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outR$7.0Mto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 2,301lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.54

Where the money went

  • Match 541%R$2.9M
  • Match 459%R$4.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.54 by chanceR$39,716,030
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

139times
54137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,254 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 23, 39, 51) with the draw of 4 June 2003 — its closest relative in 1,254 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 February 2011): 39 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

210

The numbers add up to 210 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 85% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
155≈ 173 by chance
R$18,672
  • Match 411,485≈ 11k by chanceR$360
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 11,485 winners, 0% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60R$39,716,030
    Match 5155R$18,672
    Match 411,485R$360
    Totals11,640—