LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇺🇸 1-800-GAMBLER🇬🇧 0808 8020 133🇨🇦 1-866-531-2600🇦🇺 1800 858 858all helplines →

Mega-Sena · draw

Wednesday, 14 July 2004

ResultMega-Sena

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 38
  6. 47

JackpotR$9,592,945

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 580 of 3,064 under them

← 2004-07-10All recent draws2004-07-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 18 28 38 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2004 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd22th
  • low78th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread12th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

1557times
1667times
1851times
2865times
38

Prize breakdown · 2004-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 9.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outR$1.8Mto 4.2k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 2,301lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 550%R$905.5K
  • Match 450%R$902.0K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.19 by chanceR$9,592,945
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

68times
4762times

Every number was expected about that many times after 579 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 28, 38) with the draw of 10 December 2003 — its closest relative in 579 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2004): 15 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 74% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
56≈ 62 by chance
R$16,169
  • Match 44,097≈ 4.1k by chanceR$220
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,097 winners, 0% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60R$9,592,945
    Match 556R$16,169
    Match 44,097R$220
    Totals4,153—