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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$1,714,650
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 1 of 3,065 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 1996 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Where the money went
Every number was expected about that many times after 0 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,016 winners, 0% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$1,714,650 |
| Match 5 | 17 | R$39,159 |
| Match 4 | 2,016 | R$330 |
| Totals | 2,033 | — |