Number 15

In Powerball under the 7/35 + 1/20 · since Apr 2018 rules — 443 draws, 7 from 1–35.

86times drawn · chance expected 89 −0.31σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

5.2average wait between appearances · chance says 5.0

22longest completed wait · 55% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 86 times in 443 draws against 88.6 expected, −0.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 86 times in 443 draws · average wait 5.2 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 2.5
2nd smallest22 · chance 13.9
3rd smallest35 · chance 28.2
4th smallest17 · chance 26.5
5th smallest9 · chance 12.2
6th smallest1 · chance 2.6
7th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

35 28 19 22 27 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-08	3	5th	7 8 10 12 15 19 20
2026-09-17	5	3rd	1 8 15 17 19 22 34
2026-08-13	1	3rd	6 11 15 17 26 27 35

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 7/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-10	1	1st	15 19 22 23 25 32 34
2025-04-03	13	2nd	14 15 24 26 27 33 34
2025-01-02	6	3rd	8 9 15 18 21 22 27
2024-11-21	2	3rd	3 11 15 19 22 30 31
2024-11-07	5	2nd	3 15 23 26 31 32 33
2024-10-03	1	4th	10 11 13 15 16 18 34
2024-09-26	4	4th	9 10 12 15 20 29 30
2024-08-29	22	4th	6 9 12 15 20 21 34
2024-03-28	2	3rd	6 9 15 18 19 29 34
2024-03-14	4	2nd	5 15 24 27 30 32 35
2024-02-15	7	3rd	5 10 15 18 19 34 35
2023-12-28	3	3rd	9 11 15 16 24 27 35
2023-12-07	4	3rd	4 6 15 17 23 31 33
2023-11-09	6	2nd	5 15 23 29 30 34 35
2023-09-28	16	4th	2 3 14 15 26 27 28
2023-06-08	4	2nd	12 15 17 20 21 22 28
2023-05-11	4	5th	3 8 9 12 15 18 28
2023-04-13	10	3rd	5 12 15 19 27 29 33
2023-02-02	1	3rd	2 7 15 21 24 31 35
2023-01-26	11	2nd	1 15 21 28 30 31 33
2022-11-10	6	4th	3 5 14 15 17 22 32
2022-09-29	1	3rd	9 12 15 16 19 20 35
2022-09-22	2	2nd	10 15 21 24 26 28 35
2022-09-08	1	2nd	13 15 21 23 25 30 31
2022-09-01	11	5th	3 4 10 12 15 26 34
2022-06-16	2	4th	3 6 12 15 18 28 29
2022-06-02	2	4th	6 8 11 15 21 31 33
2022-05-19	4	4th	5 8 11 15 27 28 34
2022-04-21	2	1st	15 17 19 22 25 28 29
2022-04-07	4	5th	3 5 7 10 15 30 34
2022-03-10	2	3rd	5 13 15 16 19 29 35
2022-02-24	4	3rd	6 9 15 27 28 32 33
2022-01-27	3	3rd	4 10 15 25 27 28 32
2022-01-06	8	2nd	5 15 20 27 28 29 34
2021-11-11	1	5th	1 2 3 4 15 17 20
2021-11-04	1	3rd	8 12 15 18 27 30 34
2021-10-28	14	4th	9 10 14 15 23 26 29
2021-07-22	2	2nd	13 15 16 20 25 28 29
2021-07-08	4	4th	7 8 9 15 17 19 32
2021-06-10	6	3rd	2 13 15 24 25 32 35
2021-04-29	5	4th	3 10 14 15 23 30 35
2021-03-25	9	4th	10 12 14 15 16 21 25
2021-01-21	7	2nd	6 15 19 22 27 29 35
2020-12-03	7	3rd	1 12 15 17 21 28 29
2020-10-15	2	4th	2 7 9 15 27 31 32
2020-10-01	7	2nd	11 15 16 18 22 26 30
2020-08-13	6	4th	5 6 14 15 16 24 32
2020-07-02	11	4th	1 6 10 15 16 21 26
2020-04-16	10	3rd	8 12 15 18 19 24 25
2020-02-06	8	5th	1 2 3 11 15 26 35
2019-12-12	10	3rd	9 11 15 16 18 28 35
2019-10-03	9	3rd	2 11 15 20 22 25 29
2019-08-01	4	2nd	9 15 22 23 25 30 35
2019-07-04	8	2nd	2 15 20 21 22 27 28
2019-05-09	4	2nd	5 15 17 18 19 26 29
2019-04-11	17	2nd	8 15 18 19 20 22 32
2018-12-13	5	3rd	7 8 15 24 26 28 35
2018-11-08	6	2nd	12 15 17 23 29 30 35
2018-09-27	4	3rd	5 10 15 19 21 22 30
2018-08-30	16	2nd	13 15 19 20 22 28 32
2018-05-10	2	3rd	6 14 15 24 26 32 35
2018-04-26	—	3rd	9 14 15 19 24 34 35