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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · every number · star deck
In Powerball under the 7/35 + 1/20 · since Apr 2018 rules — 444 draws, 1 from 1–20.
Drawn 21 times in 444 draws against 22.2 expected, −0.26σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 21 times in 444 draws · average wait 21.8 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 13 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 19 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 13 is picked about 0.92× as often as an indifferent choice — 20th most popular of 20. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 13 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-07-16 | 35 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-11-13 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-11-06 | 28 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-04-24 | 39 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-07-25 | 41 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-10-12 | 35 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-02-09 | 28 | 1st | 13 |
| 2022-07-28 | 19 | 1st | 13 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 13 is drawn with probability 1/20 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2022-03-17 | 9 | 1st | 13 |
| 2022-01-13 | 14 | 1st | 13 |
| 2021-10-07 | 42 | 1st | 13 |
| 2020-12-17 | 28 | 1st | 13 |
| 2020-06-04 | 39 | 1st | 13 |
| 2019-09-05 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2019-08-15 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2019-06-20 | 24 | 1st | 13 |
| 2019-01-03 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2018-12-13 | 9 | 1st | 13 |
| 2018-10-11 | 23 | 1st | 13 |
| 2018-05-03 | — | 1st | 13 |