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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · every number · star deck
In Powerball under the 7/35 + 1/20 · since Apr 2018 rules — 444 draws, 1 from 1–20.
Drawn 27 times in 444 draws against 22.2 expected, +1.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 27 times in 444 draws · average wait 15.2 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 19 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 19 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 20. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | 25 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-12-11 | 17 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-08-14 | 5 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-07-10 | 5 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-06-05 | 5 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-05-01 | 4 | 1st | 10 |
| 2025-04-03 | 29 | 1st | 10 |
| 2024-09-12 | 27 | 1st | 10 |
| 2024-03-07 | 5 | 1st | 10 |
| 2024-02-01 | 1 | 1st | 10 |
| 2024-01-25 | 19 | 1st | 10 |
| 2023-09-14 | 4 | 1st | 10 |
| 2023-08-17 | 19 | 1st | 10 |
| 2023-04-06 | 26 | 1st | 10 |
| 2022-10-06 | 4 | 1st | 10 |
| 2022-09-08 | 17 | 1st | 10 |
| 2022-05-12 | 12 | 1st | 10 |
| 2022-02-17 | 7 | 1st | 10 |
| 2021-12-30 | 17 | 1st | 10 |
| 2021-09-02 | 28 | 1st | 10 |
| 2021-02-18 | 17 | 1st | 10 |
| 2020-10-22 | 24 | 1st | 10 |
| 2020-05-07 | 1 | 1st | 10 |
| 2020-04-30 | 29 | 1st | 10 |
| 2019-10-10 | 36 | 1st | 10 |
| 2019-01-31 | 12 | 1st | 10 |
| 2018-11-08 | — | 1st | 10 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 1/20 tonight whatever it did last week.