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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Déjà vu
Players avoid last week’s numbers because they feel spent, and treat a repeated draw as proof of tampering. Both instincts come from expecting the machine to remember what it did. It has no memory at all — and that single fact makes the first belief backwards and the second one arithmetic.
A number repeating from the last draw is the normal case, not a warning. A whole draw repeating is rare but not suspicious — and most apparent repeats are recording errors, not miracles.
The last fourteen draws
Lit numbers also appeared in the draw above. In a 1-from-15 game chance says 7% of draws will hold at least one number over — then switch to a shuffled history and try to tell the difference.
The most recent draws, oldest first. Lit numbers were also in the draw above.
1 of 13 of these draws repeated at least one number from the draw before it — 7.7% against the 6.7% chance predicts. Switch to a shuffled history and the behaviour does not change.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Every draw, against the model
228 consecutive pairs of Cash Pop Early Bird draws, beside what a machine with no memory would produce. The average number held over is exactly 1²/15 — 0.067 — and the data agrees to two decimal places.
numbers held over from the previous draw
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The coincidence ladder
Nothing in that formula required the two draws to be consecutive, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history — a decade apart just as well as a week. The top rung is the same draw, twice.
26,106 pairs of draws in this history, by how many numbers the two draws had in common.
| Numbers in common | Pairs of draws | Chance predicts | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24,365 | 24,366 | 1.00× |
| 1the same draw twice | 1,741 | 1,740 | 1.00× |
Every rung is the same hypergeometric formula, evaluated at a different overlap. The machine has no memory of how long ago a draw was, so the distribution that governs consecutive draws governs draws a decade apart just as well — including the top rung, where the two draws are identical.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Has it ever happened?
The instinct is to reach for 1 in 15 and conclude it could not have. That is the answer to a different question — whether the next draw matches one you name. Drag the history length and watch the real question behave completely differently.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The register
Every combination this game has produced more than once — and a verdict on each. The verdicts exist because the first version of this scan found seven times more repeats than chance allows, and almost all of the excess was bad data rather than remarkable luck.
2025-09-23 2025-10-0512 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-24 2025-09-306 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-25 2025-10-049 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-26 2025-10-1317 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-27 2025-10-1518 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-28 2025-10-1820 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-29 2025-10-1011 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-30 2025-10-066 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-01 2025-11-1242 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-02 2025-10-2018 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-03 2025-11-1038 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-04 2025-10-2420 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-05 2025-10-3025 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-06 2025-10-093 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-07 2025-10-081 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-08 2025-11-0932 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-09 2025-11-1941 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-10 2025-11-1738 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-11 2025-10-121 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-12 2025-10-2715 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-13 2025-10-141 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-14 2025-10-2511 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-15 2025-10-161 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-16 2025-11-0217 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-17 2025-10-192 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-18 2025-11-0417 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-19 2025-10-212 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-20 2025-10-222 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-21 2025-11-0111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-22 2025-10-297 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-23 2025-10-263 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-24 2025-11-1522 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-25 2025-12-0642 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-26 2025-11-038 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-27 2025-10-314 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-28 2025-11-058 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-29 2025-11-2527 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-30 2025-11-078 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-31 2025-11-2323 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-01 2025-11-1312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-02 2025-11-1412 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-03 2025-12-1441 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-04 2025-11-062 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-05 2025-11-2823 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-06 2025-11-1610 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-07 2025-11-081 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-08 2025-11-2618 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-09 2025-11-112 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-10 2025-12-0424 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-11 2025-11-2413 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-12 2025-11-186 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-13 2025-12-2744 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-14 2025-12-1733 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-15 2025-11-216 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-16 2025-11-3014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-17 2025-12-0215 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-18 2025-11-202 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-19 2025-11-223 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-20 2025-11-277 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-21 2025-12-0312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-22 2025-12-1321 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-23 2025-12-2532 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-24 2026-05-30187 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-25 2025-12-016 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-26 2025-11-293 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-27 2025-12-2326 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-28 2025-12-057 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-29 2025-12-089 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-30 2025-12-1818 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-01 2026-06-04185 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-02 2025-12-108 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-03 2025-12-074 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-04 2026-05-23170 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-05 2025-12-094 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-06 2025-12-115 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-07 2025-12-2114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-08 2025-12-157 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-09 2026-05-19161 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-10 2025-12-166 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-11 2025-12-121 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-12 2025-12-208 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-13 2025-12-229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-14 2026-05-17154 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-15 2026-05-29165 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-16 2025-12-248 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-17 2025-12-192 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-18 2025-12-3012 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-19 2025-12-3112 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-20 2026-05-25156 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-21 2025-12-265 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-22 2026-05-20149 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-23 2025-12-285 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-24 2026-06-14172 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-25 2026-06-03160 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-26 2025-12-293 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-27 2026-05-22146 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-28 2026-05-21144 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-29 2026-05-26148 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-30 2026-05-18139 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-31 2026-06-30181 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-17 2026-05-2710 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-18 2026-06-0821 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-19 2026-05-289 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-20 2026-05-244 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-21 2026-06-0111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-22 2026-06-0514 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-23 2026-05-318 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-24 2026-06-1623 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-25 2026-06-1218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-26 2026-07-0237 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-27 2026-07-1044 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-28 2026-06-1013 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-29 2026-06-1719 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-30 2026-06-067 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-31 2026-06-022 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-01 2026-06-1312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-02 2026-06-075 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-03 2026-07-2249 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-04 2026-07-2551 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-05 2026-07-0328 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-06 2026-08-0863 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-07 2026-06-2720 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-08 2026-06-091 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-09 2026-06-112 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-10 2026-07-3151 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-11 2026-06-154 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-12 2026-06-2513 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-13 2026-06-185 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-14 2026-06-206 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-15 2026-06-216 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-16 2026-06-193 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-17 2026-07-0619 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-18 2026-07-0719 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-19 2026-06-223 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-20 2026-06-233 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-21 2026-06-243 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-22 2026-07-0513 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-23 2026-06-296 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-24 2026-07-1420 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-25 2026-06-261 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-26 2026-06-282 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-27 2026-08-1549 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-28 2026-07-013 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-29 2026-08-1244 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-30 2026-07-088 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-01 2026-08-0939 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-02 2026-07-097 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-03 2026-07-041 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-04 2026-07-117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-05 2026-08-0733 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-06 2026-07-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-07 2026-07-136 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-08 2026-07-179 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-09 2026-07-189 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-10 2026-07-122 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-11 2026-07-198 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-12 2026-07-2816 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-13 2026-08-0321 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-14 2026-07-162 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-15 2026-07-238 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-16 2026-07-204 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-17 2026-08-2135 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-18 2026-07-246 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-19 2026-07-212 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-20 2026-07-266 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-21 2026-07-309 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-22 2026-08-0110 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-23 2026-09-0140 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-24 2026-09-0543 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-25 2026-07-272 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-26 2026-08-0510 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-27 2026-07-292 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-28 2026-08-047 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-29 2026-08-2729 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-30 2026-08-023 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-31 2026-08-066 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-01 2026-08-1110 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-02 2026-09-0433 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-03 2026-08-2320 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-04 2026-08-106 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-05 2026-08-1712 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-06 2026-09-0227 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-07 2026-08-147 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-08 2026-08-135 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-09 2026-08-167 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-10 2026-09-0324 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-11 2026-08-209 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-12 2026-09-0827 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-13 2026-08-2512 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-14 2026-08-195 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-15 2026-08-227 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-17 2026-08-181 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-18 2026-09-0720 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-19 2026-08-2910 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-20 2026-08-3111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-21 2026-08-243 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-22 2026-08-264 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-23 2026-08-307 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-24 2026-09-2229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-26 2026-09-1318 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-27 2026-08-281 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-28 2026-09-1114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-29 2026-09-1517 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-03 2026-09-107 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-04 2026-09-095 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-05 2026-09-061 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-06 2026-09-2014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-07 2026-09-147 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-08 2026-09-124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-10 2026-09-2111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-12 2026-09-164 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-14 2026-09-173 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-15 2026-09-183 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-18 2026-09-191 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Reading the early_bird draw of 5 this game runs (early_bird, matinee, night_owl, suppertime, brunch), 229 draws over 1 years. Carry-over is only meaningful within a single draw series — mixing a game’s sub-draws would make “the previous draw” mean the previous different game.
The two layers underneath
Everything on this page is the same formula asked three times.
Take a draw of numbers from a pool of . Now take another draw, made by a machine with no memory of the first. How many numbers do they share?
The second draw is a uniform -subset, and the first draw's numbers are a fixed target inside the pool. That is a hypergeometric setup — drawing without replacement from a population split into "was in the last draw" and "wasn't":
The mean simplifies to something worth remembering:
Each of your numbers has probability of being among the next draw's , and expectation adds regardless of the dependence between them. For a 6/49 that is numbers carried over per draw.
The quantity players actually care about is , and it is the complement of a single term:
For a 6/49: .
More often than not, a 6/49 draw repeats a number from the draw before it. For a 7-from-52 game it is about 66%; for a 5-from-69 game, where the pool is sparse relative to the pick, it drops to 32%. The belief that a number is "used up" for a while has the arithmetic exactly inverted, and the strength of the effect is a property of the format rather than of the balls.
Nothing in that derivation used the fact that the two draws were consecutive. The machine has no memory of a week ago and none of a decade ago either, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history.
With draws there are pairs, and the expected number sharing exactly numbers is . That is the ladder on this page — and its top rung, , is two draws that were completely identical.
Here is where intuition fails hardest.
Asked whether a lottery has ever repeated a draw, people reach for — one in 13,983,816 for a 6/49 — and conclude it could not have happened. But that is the answer to "will the next draw match this specific one?" The real question is whether any of the pairs match, and that count grows quadratically while the space stays fixed.
The expected number of repeats after draws is
and, treating them as approximately Poisson,
Even odds arrive when , which gives
For a 6/49 that is 4,404 draws — around forty years of twice-weekly play. Not the geological timescale the one-in-fourteen-million figure suggests. A game that has been running since the 1980s is not unlikely to have repeated itself; it is roughly a coin flip.
There is one more step, and this page learned it the hard way.
When you hunt for coincidences across many games at once, the expected count rises with every game you add — but so does the number of ways your data can be wrong. Scanning every lottery in this database for repeated draws returns about a third more than chance allows, and essentially none of the excess is remarkable: it is one physical draw recorded under two slot names, or a result posted to two consecutive dates.
The statistical lesson generalises well beyond lotteries. At the scale where coincidences become expected, data errors become expected faster, because they are not competing against a one-in-fourteen-million denominator. Any anomaly hunt that does not model its own error rate will find its bugs first and report them as discoveries.
On 6 September 2009 the Bulgarian national lottery drew 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42. Nobody won.
Four days later, on 10 September, the machine produced 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42 again. This time eighteen people had the ticket.
The reaction was immediate and entirely predictable. The country's sports minister ordered an investigation; commentators explained that the odds were millions to one and that such a thing could not happen by accident. The investigation found no evidence of manipulation, and mathematicians pointed out what the arithmetic on this page says: across the thousands of draws held every week by hundreds of lotteries worldwide, a repeat somewhere is not merely possible but expected.
The Bulgarian case is famous because it was consecutive, which is genuinely rarer than a repeat separated by years. But the instinct it provoked — a coincidence this striking must have a cause — is the one this whole playground exists to examine.
Lottery players hold two convictions about repetition, and they contradict each other.
The first is that a number which came up last week is spent, and should be avoided. This is the gambler's fallacy in its most common costume, and the arithmetic is not close: in a 6/49 game, more than half of all draws repeat a number from the draw before. The "unlikely" thing is the one that happens most weeks.
The second is that a whole draw repeating would be proof of a rigged machine. That one is wrong in the other direction — a repeat is exactly what a fair machine produces once a game has run long enough, and the point at which it becomes likely is far nearer than anybody guesses.
Both beliefs come from the same place: a sense that the machine ought to remember what it has already done. It doesn't. It has no state at all between draws, which is what makes both the carry-over and the eventual repeat inevitable.
Building this page produced a small object lesson, and it seemed dishonest to leave it out.
The first version simply hunted for repeated draws across every game in this database. It found 10,400 of them, against roughly 1,455 that chance allows — a sevenfold excess that, taken at face value, would be the largest anomaly ever reported in a lottery dataset.
It was not an anomaly. It was three separate bugs.
Some games run several sub-draws under one name — South Africa's Lotto has a main draw, Plus 1, Plus 2 and a 5 Max — and the same physical result was filed under two of those slot names, so it looked like the machine had repeated itself within a second. Another game had a stretch in 2024 where results were posted to two consecutive dates, producing sixteen "one in 177,100" events in a single spring. And the search itself had a flaw: it packed each draw into a 64-bit mask, which silently dropped every number above 64, making Powerball's 65 to 69 invisible and manufacturing a clean, plausible, entirely fictional deviation.
Only the last of those was our own code, and it was the most dangerous, because it did not look like a bug. It looked like a finding.
Every claim on this site is an anomaly hunt of some kind: is this number hot, is this pair unusual, is this machine fair. The honest version of that work spends most of its effort on the boring question — could this be an artifact? — because at the scale where genuine coincidences start appearing, mistakes are appearing much faster.
The register on this page is what survived that question. It shows the repeats we believe, the number chance predicted, and the ones we threw out and why. It is a shorter list than the first version produced. It is also true.