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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Déjà vu
Players avoid last week’s numbers because they feel spent, and treat a repeated draw as proof of tampering. Both instincts come from expecting the machine to remember what it did. It has no memory at all — and that single fact makes the first belief backwards and the second one arithmetic.
A number repeating from the last draw is the normal case, not a warning. A whole draw repeating is rare but not suspicious — and most apparent repeats are recording errors, not miracles.
The last fourteen draws
Lit numbers also appeared in the draw above. In a 1-from-15 game chance says 7% of draws will hold at least one number over — then switch to a shuffled history and try to tell the difference.
The most recent draws, oldest first. Lit numbers were also in the draw above.
2 of 13 of these draws repeated at least one number from the draw before it — 15.4% against the 6.7% chance predicts. Switch to a shuffled history and the behaviour does not change.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Every draw, against the model
405 consecutive pairs of Cash Pop 9am draws, beside what a machine with no memory would produce. The average number held over is exactly 1²/15 — 0.067 — and the data agrees to two decimal places.
numbers held over from the previous draw
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The coincidence ladder
Nothing in that formula required the two draws to be consecutive, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history — a decade apart just as well as a week. The top rung is the same draw, twice.
82,215 pairs of draws in this history, by how many numbers the two draws had in common.
| Numbers in common | Pairs of draws | Chance predicts | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76,681 | 76,734 | 1.00× |
| 1the same draw twice | 5,534 | 5,481 | 1.01× |
Every rung is the same hypergeometric formula, evaluated at a different overlap. The machine has no memory of how long ago a draw was, so the distribution that governs consecutive draws governs draws a decade apart just as well — including the top rung, where the two draws are identical.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Has it ever happened?
The instinct is to reach for 1 in 15 and conclude it could not have. That is the answer to a different question — whether the next draw matches one you name. Drag the history length and watch the real question behave completely differently.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The register
Every combination this game has produced more than once — and a verdict on each. The verdicts exist because the first version of this scan found seven times more repeats than chance allows, and almost all of the excess was bad data rather than remarkable luck.
2024-08-29 2024-09-079 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-08-30 2024-09-012 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-08-31 2024-09-1111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-01 2024-09-1312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-02 2024-09-053 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-03 2024-09-041 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-04 2024-09-2319 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-05 2024-09-1510 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-06 2024-10-1438 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-07 2024-09-092 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-08 2024-10-0224 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-09 2024-09-2718 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-10 2024-09-199 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-11 2024-09-2211 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-12 2024-10-1028 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-13 2024-09-3017 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-14 2024-09-2612 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-15 2024-09-161 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-16 2024-12-25100 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-17 2024-09-214 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-18 2024-10-0517 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-19 2024-09-201 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-20 2024-10-0111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-21 2024-09-243 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-09-22 2024-10-2028 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-23 2024-09-285 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-24 2024-10-2127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-25 2024-10-1621 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-26 2024-11-2560 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-27 2024-10-1316 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-28 2024-11-0740 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-29 2024-10-034 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-09-30 2024-10-044 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-01 2024-10-076 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-02 2024-10-119 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-03 2024-10-063 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-04 2024-11-0229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-05 2024-10-1712 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-06 2024-10-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-07 2024-10-081 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-08 2024-11-1033 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-09 2024-10-2617 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-10 2024-10-122 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-11 2024-11-1939 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-12 2024-10-2816 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-13 2024-10-2714 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-14 2024-10-195 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-15 2024-10-183 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-16 2024-12-2873 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-17 2024-10-258 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-18 2024-10-246 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-19 2024-10-223 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-20 2024-11-0415 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-21 2024-10-232 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-22 2024-11-0110 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-23 2024-11-3038 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-24 2024-10-317 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-25 2024-10-305 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-26 2024-11-0914 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-27 2024-11-059 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-28 2024-10-291 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-10-29 2024-11-1214 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-30 2024-11-2324 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-10-31 2024-11-033 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-01 2024-11-2423 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-02 2024-11-1513 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-03 2024-11-063 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-04 2024-11-1814 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-05 2024-11-116 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-06 2024-11-1711 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-07 2024-11-081 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-08 2024-11-168 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-09 2024-11-2112 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-10 2024-11-133 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-11 2024-11-209 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-12 2024-11-142 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-13 2024-12-3047 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-14 2024-11-2814 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-15 2024-12-0520 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-16 2024-12-0620 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-17 2024-12-0922 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-18 2024-12-1022 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-19 2024-11-223 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-20 2024-12-0818 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-21 2024-12-1120 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-22 2024-11-275 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-23 2024-12-029 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-24 2024-12-0410 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-25 2024-11-261 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-26 2024-12-015 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-27 2024-12-2124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-28 2024-11-291 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-11-29 2024-12-1314 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-11-30 2024-12-033 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-01 2024-12-1817 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-02 2024-12-2321 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-03 2025-08-31271 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-04 2024-12-073 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-05 2024-12-149 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-06 2024-12-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-07 2025-09-26293 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-08 2024-12-2214 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-09 2024-12-123 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-10 2025-10-18312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-11 2024-12-209 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-12 2025-09-29291 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-13 2025-09-27288 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-14 2024-12-162 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-15 2024-12-172 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-16 2024-12-193 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-17 2024-12-3114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-18 2024-12-2911 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-19 2024-12-278 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-20 2025-09-19273 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-21 2025-09-21274 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-22 2024-12-264 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-23 2024-12-241 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2024-12-24 2025-09-02252 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-25 2025-10-02281 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-26 2025-09-04252 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-27 2025-09-07254 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-28 2025-09-08254 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-29 2025-09-18263 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-30 2025-08-29242 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2024-12-31 2025-08-30242 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-08-29 2025-09-035 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-08-30 2025-09-067 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-08-31 2025-09-011 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-01 2025-09-109 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-02 2025-09-053 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-03 2025-09-096 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-04 2025-09-117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-05 2025-09-127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-06 2025-09-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-07 2025-10-0326 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-08 2025-09-168 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-09 2025-09-2819 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-10 2025-09-133 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-11 2025-09-143 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-12 2025-09-2412 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-13 2025-10-0623 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-14 2025-09-228 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-15 2025-09-172 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-16 2025-10-0519 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-17 2026-04-25220 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-18 2025-09-202 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-19 2025-11-0143 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-20 2025-09-233 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-21 2025-10-1019 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-22 2025-10-1523 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-23 2025-10-2229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-24 2025-09-251 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-25 2025-10-0813 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-26 2025-10-1115 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-27 2025-09-303 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-28 2025-10-079 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-09-29 2025-10-012 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-09-30 2025-10-044 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-01 2025-10-1312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-02 2025-10-1412 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-03 2025-10-2320 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-04 2025-11-1946 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-05 2025-10-2520 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-06 2025-10-126 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-07 2025-10-092 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-08 2025-10-2719 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-09 2025-10-2415 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-10 2025-10-2616 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-11 2025-10-165 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-12 2025-10-175 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-13 2025-10-207 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-14 2025-10-3117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-15 2025-11-0319 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-16 2025-10-215 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-17 2025-11-1024 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-18 2025-10-191 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-19 2026-05-08201 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-20 2025-10-288 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-21 2025-11-0717 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-22 2025-11-0413 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-23 2025-12-0139 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-24 2025-11-2734 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-25 2025-11-1521 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-26 2025-11-0813 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-27 2025-10-292 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-28 2025-10-302 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-10-29 2025-11-057 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-30 2025-11-1415 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-10-31 2025-11-022 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-01 2025-11-1312 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-02 2025-12-0230 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-03 2025-11-063 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-04 2025-11-095 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-05 2025-11-1712 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-06 2025-11-2014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-07 2025-12-0528 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-08 2025-11-124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-09 2025-11-112 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-10 2025-11-166 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-11 2025-11-2211 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-12 2025-11-186 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-13 2025-11-2815 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-14 2025-11-239 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-15 2025-11-216 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-16 2025-12-2337 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-17 2025-12-1427 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-18 2025-11-3012 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-19 2025-12-2031 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-20 2025-11-266 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-21 2025-11-243 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-22 2025-11-297 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-23 2025-11-252 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-11-24 2025-12-039 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-25 2025-12-0611 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-26 2025-12-048 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-27 2025-12-2528 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-28 2025-12-1315 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-29 2025-12-1516 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-30 2025-12-1717 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-01 2025-12-3029 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-02 2025-12-086 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-03 2025-12-074 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-04 2025-12-2218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-05 2025-12-127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-06 2025-12-2620 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-07 2025-12-114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-08 2025-12-091 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-09 2025-12-101 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-10 2025-12-199 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-11 2026-05-02142 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-12 2026-04-29138 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-13 2025-12-163 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-14 2025-12-217 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-15 2025-12-183 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-16 2026-05-05140 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-17 2026-04-22126 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-18 2025-12-246 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-19 2025-12-278 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-20 2025-12-3111 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-21 2026-05-07137 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-22 2025-12-286 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-23 2026-04-26124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-24 2026-05-16143 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-25 2026-04-21117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-26 2026-04-24119 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-27 2026-05-12136 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-28 2025-12-291 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-29 2026-04-28120 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-30 2026-04-27118 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-31 2026-05-25145 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-21 2026-04-232 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-04-22 2026-05-1927 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-23 2026-05-0613 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-24 2026-04-306 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-25 2026-05-049 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-26 2026-05-015 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-27 2026-05-036 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-28 2026-05-2729 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-29 2026-06-2254 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-30 2026-06-1849 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-01 2026-05-109 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-02 2026-05-119 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-03 2026-05-096 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-04 2026-05-3026 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-05 2026-05-138 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-06 2026-05-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-07 2026-05-2417 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-08 2026-05-2921 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-09 2026-05-2314 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-10 2026-05-144 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-11 2026-06-0121 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-12 2026-06-1635 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-13 2026-05-218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-14 2026-05-173 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-15 2026-06-1733 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-16 2026-05-204 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-17 2026-05-181 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-18 2026-06-0215 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-19 2026-06-1123 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-20 2026-06-0718 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-21 2026-05-221 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-22 2026-05-264 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-23 2026-06-2836 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-24 2026-06-0613 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-25 2026-05-283 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-26 2026-06-1217 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-27 2026-06-1014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-28 2026-05-313 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-29 2026-06-1315 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-30 2026-06-089 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-31 2026-06-033 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-01 2026-06-098 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-02 2026-06-2321 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-03 2026-06-041 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-04 2026-06-051 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-05 2026-07-1338 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-06 2026-06-1913 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-07 2026-06-3023 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-08 2026-06-146 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-09 2026-07-0122 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-10 2026-06-155 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-11 2026-07-0827 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-12 2026-07-1432 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-13 2026-06-2411 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-14 2026-06-206 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-15 2026-06-216 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-16 2026-07-0519 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-17 2026-07-0417 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-18 2026-07-1527 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-19 2026-07-2031 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-20 2026-07-1626 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-21 2026-06-276 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-22 2026-07-1220 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-23 2026-06-252 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-24 2026-06-262 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-25 2026-07-0712 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-26 2026-06-293 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-27 2026-07-1013 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-28 2026-08-1952 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-29 2026-07-023 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-30 2026-07-099 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-01 2026-07-065 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-02 2026-07-031 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-03 2026-09-1069 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-04 2026-07-2319 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-05 2026-07-2419 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-06 2026-07-2115 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-07 2026-07-114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-08 2026-08-1538 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-09 2026-07-178 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-10 2026-07-188 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-11 2026-08-0727 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-12 2026-07-3119 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-13 2026-07-2815 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-14 2026-08-0320 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-15 2026-07-194 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-16 2026-07-259 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-17 2026-08-0923 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-18 2026-07-279 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-19 2026-09-0952 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-20 2026-07-222 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-21 2026-08-0515 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-22 2026-07-297 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-23 2026-08-1018 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-24 2026-07-262 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-25 2026-08-028 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-26 2026-08-1419 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-27 2026-07-303 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-28 2026-08-2427 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-29 2026-08-013 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-30 2026-08-067 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-31 2026-08-044 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-01 2026-08-1110 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-02 2026-09-2150 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-04 2026-08-139 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-05 2026-08-1813 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-06 2026-08-082 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-08 2026-08-2214 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-09 2026-08-167 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-10 2026-08-177 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-11 2026-08-121 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-12 2026-08-2614 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-13 2026-08-218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-14 2026-08-2814 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-15 2026-09-1430 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-16 2026-09-0419 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-17 2026-08-203 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-19 2026-08-2910 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-20 2026-08-233 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-21 2026-09-2333 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-22 2026-09-0211 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-23 2026-08-318 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-24 2026-08-251 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-25 2026-09-1622 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-26 2026-08-271 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-27 2026-08-303 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-28 2026-09-058 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-29 2026-09-068 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-30 2026-09-012 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-01 2026-09-032 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-02 2026-09-086 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-03 2026-09-1512 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-04 2026-09-2218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-05 2026-09-127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-06 2026-09-071 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-07 2026-09-136 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-08 2026-09-1911 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-10 2026-09-111 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-11 2026-09-209 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-14 2026-09-173 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-17 2026-09-181 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Reading the 6pm draw of 4 this game runs (6pm, 9am, 1pm, 11pm), 406 draws over 2 years. Carry-over is only meaningful within a single draw series — mixing a game’s sub-draws would make “the previous draw” mean the previous different game.
The two layers underneath
Everything on this page is the same formula asked three times.
Take a draw of numbers from a pool of . Now take another draw, made by a machine with no memory of the first. How many numbers do they share?
The second draw is a uniform -subset, and the first draw's numbers are a fixed target inside the pool. That is a hypergeometric setup — drawing without replacement from a population split into "was in the last draw" and "wasn't":
The mean simplifies to something worth remembering:
Each of your numbers has probability of being among the next draw's , and expectation adds regardless of the dependence between them. For a 6/49 that is numbers carried over per draw.
The quantity players actually care about is , and it is the complement of a single term:
For a 6/49: .
More often than not, a 6/49 draw repeats a number from the draw before it. For a 7-from-52 game it is about 66%; for a 5-from-69 game, where the pool is sparse relative to the pick, it drops to 32%. The belief that a number is "used up" for a while has the arithmetic exactly inverted, and the strength of the effect is a property of the format rather than of the balls.
Nothing in that derivation used the fact that the two draws were consecutive. The machine has no memory of a week ago and none of a decade ago either, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history.
With draws there are pairs, and the expected number sharing exactly numbers is . That is the ladder on this page — and its top rung, , is two draws that were completely identical.
Here is where intuition fails hardest.
Asked whether a lottery has ever repeated a draw, people reach for — one in 13,983,816 for a 6/49 — and conclude it could not have happened. But that is the answer to "will the next draw match this specific one?" The real question is whether any of the pairs match, and that count grows quadratically while the space stays fixed.
The expected number of repeats after draws is
and, treating them as approximately Poisson,
Even odds arrive when , which gives
For a 6/49 that is 4,404 draws — around forty years of twice-weekly play. Not the geological timescale the one-in-fourteen-million figure suggests. A game that has been running since the 1980s is not unlikely to have repeated itself; it is roughly a coin flip.
There is one more step, and this page learned it the hard way.
When you hunt for coincidences across many games at once, the expected count rises with every game you add — but so does the number of ways your data can be wrong. Scanning every lottery in this database for repeated draws returns about a third more than chance allows, and essentially none of the excess is remarkable: it is one physical draw recorded under two slot names, or a result posted to two consecutive dates.
The statistical lesson generalises well beyond lotteries. At the scale where coincidences become expected, data errors become expected faster, because they are not competing against a one-in-fourteen-million denominator. Any anomaly hunt that does not model its own error rate will find its bugs first and report them as discoveries.
On 6 September 2009 the Bulgarian national lottery drew 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42. Nobody won.
Four days later, on 10 September, the machine produced 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42 again. This time eighteen people had the ticket.
The reaction was immediate and entirely predictable. The country's sports minister ordered an investigation; commentators explained that the odds were millions to one and that such a thing could not happen by accident. The investigation found no evidence of manipulation, and mathematicians pointed out what the arithmetic on this page says: across the thousands of draws held every week by hundreds of lotteries worldwide, a repeat somewhere is not merely possible but expected.
The Bulgarian case is famous because it was consecutive, which is genuinely rarer than a repeat separated by years. But the instinct it provoked — a coincidence this striking must have a cause — is the one this whole playground exists to examine.
Lottery players hold two convictions about repetition, and they contradict each other.
The first is that a number which came up last week is spent, and should be avoided. This is the gambler's fallacy in its most common costume, and the arithmetic is not close: in a 6/49 game, more than half of all draws repeat a number from the draw before. The "unlikely" thing is the one that happens most weeks.
The second is that a whole draw repeating would be proof of a rigged machine. That one is wrong in the other direction — a repeat is exactly what a fair machine produces once a game has run long enough, and the point at which it becomes likely is far nearer than anybody guesses.
Both beliefs come from the same place: a sense that the machine ought to remember what it has already done. It doesn't. It has no state at all between draws, which is what makes both the carry-over and the eventual repeat inevitable.
Building this page produced a small object lesson, and it seemed dishonest to leave it out.
The first version simply hunted for repeated draws across every game in this database. It found 10,400 of them, against roughly 1,455 that chance allows — a sevenfold excess that, taken at face value, would be the largest anomaly ever reported in a lottery dataset.
It was not an anomaly. It was three separate bugs.
Some games run several sub-draws under one name — South Africa's Lotto has a main draw, Plus 1, Plus 2 and a 5 Max — and the same physical result was filed under two of those slot names, so it looked like the machine had repeated itself within a second. Another game had a stretch in 2024 where results were posted to two consecutive dates, producing sixteen "one in 177,100" events in a single spring. And the search itself had a flaw: it packed each draw into a 64-bit mask, which silently dropped every number above 64, making Powerball's 65 to 69 invisible and manufacturing a clean, plausible, entirely fictional deviation.
Only the last of those was our own code, and it was the most dangerous, because it did not look like a bug. It looked like a finding.
Every claim on this site is an anomaly hunt of some kind: is this number hot, is this pair unusual, is this machine fair. The honest version of that work spends most of its effort on the boring question — could this be an artifact? — because at the scale where genuine coincidences start appearing, mistakes are appearing much faster.
The register on this page is what survived that question. It shows the repeats we believe, the number chance predicted, and the ones we threw out and why. It is a shorter list than the first version produced. It is also true.