38

'E mmazzate — the beating

No full dossier yet for 38. The Smorfia line below is its place in the Neapolitan book of dreams; more dossiers are written over time.

Smorfia napoletana'E mmazzatethe beating

Cultural interest — does not change your odds.

The reality check

What the machines actually did with 38, across every lottery this site holds a long record for.

Powerball96of 103 expected−0.67σ
UK Lotto122of 119 expected+0.26σ
EuroMillions96of 104 expected−0.86σ
SuperEnalotto164of 161 expected+0.25σ
Set for Life374of 378 expected−0.22σ

Across 5 lotteries that hold a 38, its average deviation from expectation is −0.25σ. Statistically ordinary, everywhere.

The one thing a belief about a number can measurably do is change how many people play it — and a jackpot shared more ways is worth less to each winner. That is the only real consequence, and it is arithmetic rather than folklore.