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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 50,000,000
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 859 of 1,704 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 18 Sept 2026, 20:50 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 858 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 6, 8) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 November 2022 — its closest relative in 858 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 63 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,277 winners, 10% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | ZAR 50,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 404,908 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 30 | ZAR 6,748 |
| Match 4 | 675 | ZAR 2,000 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 714 | ZAR 500 |
| Match 3 | 12,277 | ZAR 100 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 10,090 | ZAR 100 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 53,146 | ZAR 20.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 88,534 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Totals | 165,467 | — |