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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 90,000,000
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 823 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 822 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 25, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 January 2024 — its closest relative in 822 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 May 2026): 35 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 135 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + Powerball — 16,600 winners, 2% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | ZAR 90,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 116,120 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 20 | ZAR 7,271 |
| Match 4 | 474 | ZAR 520 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 1,158 | ZAR 241 |
| Match 3 | 21,030 | ZAR 11.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 16,600 | ZAR 10.50 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 86,038 | ZAR 7.50 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 139,477 | ZAR 5.00 |
| Totals | 264,799 | — |