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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 24,958,675
The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 697 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 696 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 20, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 December 2023 — its closest relative in 696 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 February 2025): 44 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,111 winners, 11% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 129,762 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 79,999 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 16,106 | ZAR 21.00 |
| Match 3 | 22,111 | ZAR 20.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,125 | ZAR 481 |
| Match 4 | 505 | ZAR 947 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 31 | ZAR 9,098 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 225,194 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 24,958,675 |