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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 33,515,456
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 686 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 685 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 45, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 February 2024 — its closest relative in 685 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 196 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 885 winners, 14% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 1 | ZAR 33,515,456 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 217,114 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 21 | ZAR 6,474 |
| 4 | 373 | ZAR 617 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 885 | ZAR 294 |
| 3 | 18,216 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 13,600 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 73,197 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 127,385 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 233,679 | — |