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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 20 December 2024

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 41
  5. 48
  6. 8

JackpotZAR 33,303,231

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 677 of 1,712 under them

← 2024-12-17All recent draws2024-12-24 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 8
    2. 10
    3. 14
    4. 41
    5. 50
    6. 9

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 20 41 4829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 16 20 41 48 + 828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

147times
1670times
2078times
4171times
4873times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

831times

Every number was expected about that many times after 676 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 20, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 September 2022 — its closest relative in 676 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.4Mto 222k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%ZAR 619.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.2M
  • 4 other tiers35%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 33,303,231
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9≈ 22 by chanceZAR 68,794
  3. Match 4355≈ 423 by chanceZAR 1,139
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799≈ 980 by chanceZAR 572
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,923≈ 14k by chanceZAR 22.20
  6. Match 315,870≈ 19k by chanceZAR 24.00
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball71,401≈ 74k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball120,955≈ 121k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 799 winners, 18% fewer than the 980 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball120,955ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball71,401ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,923ZAR 22.20
Match 315,870ZAR 24.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799ZAR 572
Match 4355ZAR 1,139
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9ZAR 68,794
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 33,303,231