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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Tuesday, 5 March 2024

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 41
  4. 47
  5. 50
  6. 10

JackpotZAR 5,379,508

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 594 of 1,719 under them

← 2024-03-01All recent draws2024-03-08 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 2
    2. 4
    3. 23
    4. 27
    5. 31
    6. 4

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 41 47 50 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

455times
862times
4149times
4750times
5059times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1028times

Every number was expected about that many times after 593 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 41, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 December 2023 — its closest relative in 593 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-03-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 2.1Mto 418k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 3 + PowerBall11%ZAR 225.5K
  • 1 + PowerBall22%ZAR 463.9K
  • 0 + PowerBall27%ZAR 570.8K
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 822.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 5,379,508
  2. 51≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 188,360
  3. 4 + PowerBall11≈ 21 by chanceZAR 10,722
  4. 4343≈ 399 by chanceZAR 583
  5. 3 + PowerBall835≈ 925 by chanceZAR 270
  6. 2 + PowerBall12,034≈ 13k by chanceZAR 11.00
  7. 315,299≈ 18k by chanceZAR 12.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall66,266≈ 70k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall114,160≈ 114k by chanceZAR 5.00
  10. -208,949—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 15,299 winners, 13% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall0ZAR 5,379,508
51ZAR 188,360
4 + PowerBall11ZAR 10,722
4343ZAR 583
3 + PowerBall835ZAR 270
315,299ZAR 12.00
2 + PowerBall12,034ZAR 11.00
1 + PowerBall66,266ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall114,160ZAR 5.00
-208,949—