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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 71,139,199
The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 577 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 576 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 18, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 June 2022 — its closest relative in 576 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 January 2024): 50 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,187 winners, 28% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 172,569 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 98,657 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 17,307 | ZAR 20.50 |
| Match 3 | 19,187 | ZAR 24.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,112 | ZAR 510 |
| Match 4 | 441 | ZAR 1,138 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 26 | ZAR 11,382 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 236,282 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 71,139,199 |