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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 59,443,543
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 575 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 574 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 48) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 July 2022 — its closest relative in 574 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 December 2023): 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 173 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 457 winners, 10% fewer than the 510 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 145,633 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 84,437 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 15,693 | ZAR 23.20 |
| Match 3 | 20,282 | ZAR 23.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,104 | ZAR 528 |
| Match 4 | 457 | ZAR 1,128 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 24 | ZAR 12,665 |
| Match 5 | 4 | ZAR 121,350 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 59,443,543 |