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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 1,909,580
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 556 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 555 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 23, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 August 2022 — its closest relative in 555 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 31–32. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 623 winners, 7% fewer than the 671 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 1,909,580 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 140,120 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 10 | ZAR 8,774 |
| 4 | 299 | ZAR 497 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 623 | ZAR 269 |
| 3 | 12,081 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 9,589 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 51,412 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 82,789 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 156,804 | — |