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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 15 August 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 16
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 11

JackpotZAR 8,314,197

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 536 of 1,711 under them

← 2023-08-11All recent draws2023-08-18 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 4
    2. 6
    3. 12
    4. 18
    5. 28
    6. 3

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 16 34 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community7 9 16 34 38 + 1128 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap59th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

751times
955times
1654times
3454times
3865times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

1129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 535 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 16, 34) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 November 2022 — its closest relative in 535 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.4Mto 174k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 346.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 863.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 892.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 8,314,197
  2. Match 52≈ 1.4 by chanceZAR 144,178
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 16 by chanceZAR 12,898
  4. Match 4322≈ 312 by chanceZAR 951
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball797≈ 723 by chanceZAR 434
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,491≈ 10k by chanceZAR 18.90
  7. Match 314,300≈ 14k by chanceZAR 20.20
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,542≈ 54k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball89,228≈ 89k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 11,491 winners, 11% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball89,228ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,542ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,491ZAR 18.90
Match 314,300ZAR 20.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball797ZAR 434
Match 4322ZAR 951
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14ZAR 12,898
Match 52ZAR 144,178
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 8,314,197