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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 4,951,457
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 525 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 524 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 25, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 January 2019 — its closest relative in 524 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 July 2023): 29 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,074 winners, 16% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 101,199 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 64,281 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 12,468 | ZAR 21.90 |
| Match 3 | 18,074 | ZAR 20.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 873 | ZAR 500 |
| Match 4 | 463 | ZAR 833 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 40 | ZAR 5,688 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 363,326 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 4,951,458 |