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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 9 May 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 34
  6. 19

JackpotZAR 28,169,195

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 508 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-05-05All recent draws2023-05-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 4
    2. 26
    3. 37
    4. 40
    5. 45
    6. 4

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 16 17 3429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community2 4 16 17 34 + 1928 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd10th
  • low90th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

243times
457times
1651times
1741times
3453times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1921times

Every number was expected about that many times after 507 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 16, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2021 — its closest relative in 507 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 May 2023): 2 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.2Mto 205k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 446.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 993.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 28,169,195
  2. Match 52≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 186,114
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 20 by chanceZAR 17,930
  4. Match 4427≈ 372 by chanceZAR 926
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball917≈ 862 by chanceZAR 487
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,901≈ 12k by chanceZAR 21.70
  7. Match 318,221≈ 16k by chanceZAR 20.40
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball66,256≈ 65k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball106,411≈ 106k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,221 winners, 11% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball106,411ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball66,256ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,901ZAR 21.70
Match 318,221ZAR 20.40
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball917ZAR 487
Match 4427ZAR 926
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13ZAR 17,930
Match 52ZAR 186,114
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 28,169,195