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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 24 March 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 27
  3. 33
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 14

JackpotZAR 10,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 495 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-03-21All recent draws2023-03-28 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 11
    3. 24
    4. 39
    5. 42
    6. 9

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 27 33 45 4629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community6 27 33 45 46 + 1428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

650times
2747times
3336times
4548times
4652times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1420times

Every number was expected about that many times after 494 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 January 2023 — its closest relative in 494 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-24

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.0Mto 198k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 416.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 942.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 10,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 1.6 by chanceZAR 346,581
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 19 by chanceZAR 12,767
  4. Match 4343≈ 369 by chanceZAR 1,073
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball828≈ 855 by chanceZAR 502
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,228≈ 12k by chanceZAR 21.30
  7. Match 315,804≈ 16k by chanceZAR 21.90
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball62,830≈ 64k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball105,472≈ 105k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 828 winners, 3% fewer than the 855 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball105,472ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball62,830ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,228ZAR 21.30
Match 315,804ZAR 21.90
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball828ZAR 502
Match 4343ZAR 1,073
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17ZAR 12,767
Match 51ZAR 346,581
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 10,000,000