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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 2,661,434
The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 493 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 492 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 26, 31) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 July 2022 — its closest relative in 492 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 19,203 winners, 9% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 2,661,434 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 65,096 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 31 | ZAR 3,944 |
| 4 | 422 | ZAR 491 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,127 | ZAR 208 |
| 3 | 19,203 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 16,298 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 84,586 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 136,423 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 258,093 | — |