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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 14 March 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 20
  3. 29
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 66,967,733

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 492 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-03-10All recent draws2023-03-17 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 8
    2. 14
    3. 41
    4. 49
    5. 50
    6. 2

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 20 29 42 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 20 29 42 44 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd10th
  • low34th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

851times
2054times
2963times
4246times
4437times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1629times

Every number was expected about that many times after 491 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 29, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 September 2020 — its closest relative in 491 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 61 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 5.0Mto 239k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%ZAR 733.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.3M
  • 4 other tiers36%ZAR 1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 66,967,733
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 23 by chanceZAR 22,237
  3. Match 4388≈ 443 by chanceZAR 1,235
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,025≈ 1.0k by chanceZAR 528
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,777≈ 15k by chanceZAR 22.90
  6. Match 318,603≈ 19k by chanceZAR 24.20
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball77,323≈ 77k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball126,640≈ 127k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,603 winners, 5% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball126,640ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball77,323ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,777ZAR 22.90
Match 318,603ZAR 24.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,025ZAR 528
Match 4388ZAR 1,235
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33ZAR 22,237
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 66,967,733