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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 7 February 2023

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 23
  4. 32
  5. 49
  6. 8

JackpotZAR 11,880,809

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 482 of 1,712 under them

← 2023-02-03All recent draws2023-02-10 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 11
    2. 19
    3. 20
    4. 41
    5. 47
    6. 20

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 23 32 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 4 23 32 49 + 828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

359times
454times
2336times
3247times
4957times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

825times

Every number was expected about that many times after 481 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 32, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 April 2021 — its closest relative in 481 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 February 2023): 32 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 69 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.9Mto 249k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 501.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.3M
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 11,880,809
  2. Match 51≈ 2.1 by chanceZAR 417,513
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 25 by chanceZAR 18,675
  4. Match 4372≈ 466 by chanceZAR 1,192
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball852≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 588
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,329≈ 15k by chanceZAR 20.50
  7. Match 317,925≈ 21k by chanceZAR 23.20
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,584≈ 81k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball133,213≈ 133k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 852 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball133,213ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,584ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,329ZAR 20.50
Match 317,925ZAR 23.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball852ZAR 588
Match 4372ZAR 1,192
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14ZAR 18,675
Match 51ZAR 417,513
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 11,880,809