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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 25 October 2022

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 20
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 39
  5. 46
  6. 6

JackpotZAR 62,858,256

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 452 of 1,712 under them

← 2022-10-21All recent draws2022-10-28 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 13
    2. 29
    3. 35
    4. 36
    5. 47
    6. 9

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 23 27 39 4629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community20 23 27 39 46 + 628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

2051times
2334times
2740times
3941times
4647times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

621times

Every number was expected about that many times after 451 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 23, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 January 2022 — its closest relative in 451 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.9Mto 238k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%ZAR 705.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.3M
  • 4 other tiers36%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 62,858,256
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball50≈ 23 by chanceZAR 14,105
  3. Match 4503≈ 446 by chanceZAR 915
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball994≈ 1.0k by chanceZAR 524
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,153≈ 15k by chanceZAR 23.00
  6. Match 318,954≈ 20k by chanceZAR 22.90
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,352≈ 78k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball127,478≈ 127k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 14,153 winners, 4% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball127,478ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,352ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,153ZAR 23.00
Match 318,954ZAR 22.90
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball994ZAR 524
Match 4503ZAR 915
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball50ZAR 14,105
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 62,858,256