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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Tuesday, 23 August 2022

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 41
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 12,355,276

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 434 of 1,719 under them

← 2022-08-19All recent draws2022-08-26 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 10
    2. 11
    3. 17
    4. 29
    5. 40
    6. 15

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 22 23 31 41 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap11th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

2053times
2248times
2332times
3141times
4135times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

720times

Every number was expected about that many times after 433 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 31, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 August 2021 — its closest relative in 433 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2022): 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 1.8Mto 393k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 3 + PowerBall10%ZAR 175K
  • 1 + PowerBall25%ZAR 441.8K
  • 0 + PowerBall30%ZAR 534.8K
  • 5 other tiers35%ZAR 633.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 12,355,276
  2. 53≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 48,709
  3. 4 + PowerBall24≈ 20 by chanceZAR 3,812
  4. 4296≈ 374 by chanceZAR 524
  5. 3 + PowerBall799≈ 867 by chanceZAR 219
  6. 2 + PowerBall11,456≈ 12k by chanceZAR 9.00
  7. 313,788≈ 16k by chanceZAR 10.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall63,118≈ 65k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall106,969≈ 107k by chanceZAR 5.00
  10. -196,453—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 13,788 winners, 16% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall0ZAR 12,355,276
53ZAR 48,709
4 + PowerBall24ZAR 3,812
4296ZAR 524
3 + PowerBall799ZAR 219
313,788ZAR 10.00
2 + PowerBall11,456ZAR 9.00
1 + PowerBall63,118ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall106,969ZAR 5.00
-196,453—