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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 8,126,280
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 432 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 431 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 23, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 June 2018 — its closest relative in 431 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 13 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 103 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 824 winners, 5% more than the 785 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 8,126,280 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 146,512 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 15 | ZAR 6,116 |
| 4 | 281 | ZAR 553 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 824 | ZAR 213 |
| 3 | 14,578 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 11,699 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 60,991 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 96,889 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 185,278 | — |