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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 9 August 2022

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 26
  3. 39
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 1

JackpotZAR 30,468,504

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 430 of 1,712 under them

← 2022-08-05All recent draws2022-08-12 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 16
    2. 32
    3. 36
    4. 37
    5. 48
    6. 11

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 26 39 42 4329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community6 26 39 42 43 + 128 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

644times
2629times
3937times
4240times
4343times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

120times

Every number was expected about that many times after 429 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 May 2022 — its closest relative in 429 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.4Mto 160k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 385.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 752.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 872.0K
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 30,468,504
  2. Match 51≈ 1.4 by chanceZAR 321,272
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 16 by chanceZAR 20,118
  4. Match 4239≈ 305 by chanceZAR 1,427
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball604≈ 707 by chanceZAR 639
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,883≈ 10k by chanceZAR 27.20
  7. Match 312,733≈ 13k by chanceZAR 25.20
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,190≈ 53k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,204≈ 87k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 604 winners, 15% fewer than the 707 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,204ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball50,190ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,883ZAR 27.20
Match 312,733ZAR 25.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball604ZAR 639
Match 4239ZAR 1,427
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10ZAR 20,118
Match 51ZAR 321,272
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 30,468,504