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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 14,913,546
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 370 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 369 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 9, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 August 2020 — its closest relative in 369 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 January 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 61 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 1,132 winners, 28% more than the 885 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 1 | ZAR 14,913,546 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 64,599 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 29 | ZAR 4,184 |
| 4 | 492 | ZAR 418 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,132 | ZAR 205 |
| 3 | 21,386 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 14,749 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 68,921 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 109,202 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 215,915 | — |