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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 12,947,222
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 342 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 341 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 36, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 January 2021 — its closest relative in 341 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 677 winners, 5% fewer than the 711 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 12,947,222 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 52,622 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 10 | ZAR 9,885 |
| 4 | 334 | ZAR 501 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 677 | ZAR 279 |
| 3 | 13,972 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,577 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 54,280 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 87,783 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 167,636 | — |