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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,615,245
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 339 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 338 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 6, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 January 2020 — its closest relative in 338 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 September 2021): 6, 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 67 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6, 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + PowerBall — 10,864 winners, 20% more than the 9.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 6,615,245 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 67,510 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 24 | ZAR 3,523 |
| 4 | 435 | ZAR 329 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 722 | ZAR 224 |
| 3 | 14,218 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,864 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 52,308 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 77,645 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 156,218 | — |