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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 5,532,678
The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 319 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 318 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 29, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 August 2019 — its closest relative in 318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 153 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 395 winners, 28% fewer than the 545 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 5,532,678 |
| 5 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 25 | ZAR 14,289 |
| 4 | 395 | ZAR 590 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,043 | ZAR 252 |
| 3 | 18,333 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 16,418 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 90,159 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 155,783 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 282,156 | — |