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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 97,514,490
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 315 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 314 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 November 2020 — its closest relative in 314 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 June 2021): 43 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 165 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 572 winners, 32% fewer than the 845 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 241,428 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 131,208 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 23,316 | ZAR 19.80 |
| Match 3 | 26,326 | ZAR 23.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,480 | ZAR 498 |
| Match 4 | 572 | ZAR 1,140 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 40 | ZAR 9,615 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 614,156 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 97,514,490 |