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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 28 May 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 31
  2. 33
  3. 36
  4. 38
  5. 44
  6. 4

JackpotZAR 34,608,237

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 305 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-05-25All recent draws2021-06-01 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 12
    2. 18
    3. 20
    4. 31
    5. 34
    6. 3

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed31 33 36 38 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community31 33 36 38 44 + 428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd34th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

3130times
3319times
3636times
3832times
4425times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (31, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 February 2021 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 May 2021): 44 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 57 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.4Mto 216k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%ZAR 635.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 1.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.2M
  • 4 other tiers36%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 34,608,237
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 22 by chanceZAR 30,281
  3. Match 4390≈ 419 by chanceZAR 1,065
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757≈ 970 by chanceZAR 620
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,903≈ 14k by chanceZAR 24.70
  6. Match 315,744≈ 18k by chanceZAR 24.80
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball67,562≈ 73k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball119,706≈ 120k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 757 winners, 22% fewer than the 970 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball119,706ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball67,562ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,903ZAR 24.70
Match 315,744ZAR 24.80
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757ZAR 620
Match 4390ZAR 1,065
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21ZAR 30,281
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 34,608,237