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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 21 May 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 19
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 45
  5. 50
  6. 5

JackpotZAR 24,582,070

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 303 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-05-18All recent draws2021-05-25 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 6
    2. 11
    3. 15
    4. 39
    5. 49
    6. 8

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 21 24 45 5029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community19 21 24 45 50 + 528 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1930times
2127times
2435times
4531times
5034times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

514times

Every number was expected about that many times after 302 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 December 2019 — its closest relative in 302 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2021): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.0Mto 198k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 412.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 974.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.0M
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 24,582,070
  2. Match 54≈ 1.6 by chanceZAR 85,963
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 19 by chanceZAR 15,380
  4. Match 4308≈ 367 by chanceZAR 1,185
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball885≈ 850 by chanceZAR 466
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,400≈ 12k by chanceZAR 20.90
  7. Match 314,946≈ 16k by chanceZAR 23.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,964≈ 64k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball104,857≈ 105k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,946 winners, 7% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball104,857ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball64,964ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,400ZAR 20.90
Match 314,946ZAR 23.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball885ZAR 466
Match 4308ZAR 1,185
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14ZAR 15,380
Match 54ZAR 85,963
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 24,582,070