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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 2,262,688
The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 301 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 300 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 17, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 January 2020 — its closest relative in 300 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 May 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 69 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 47 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 17,997 winners, 34% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 2,262,688 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 55,343 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 21 | ZAR 4,950 |
| 4 | 425 | ZAR 414 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 920 | ZAR 216 |
| 3 | 17,997 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 11,973 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 56,074 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 87,224 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 174,637 | — |