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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 23 February 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 42
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 39,537,289

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 278 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-02-19All recent draws2021-02-26 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 6
    2. 9
    3. 19
    4. 20
    5. 26
    6. 10

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 25 32 4229 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 13 25 32 42 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

829times
1337times
2529times
3226times
4219times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1610times

Every number was expected about that many times after 277 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 32, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 April 2020 — its closest relative in 277 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 February 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 174k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 401.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 833.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 913.5K
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 39,537,289
  2. Match 52≈ 1.4 by chanceZAR 167,068
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 17 by chanceZAR 11,013
  4. Match 4372≈ 320 by chanceZAR 954
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball764≈ 740 by chanceZAR 525
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,433≈ 11k by chanceZAR 24.10
  7. Match 315,017≈ 14k by chanceZAR 22.20
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,544≈ 56k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball91,351≈ 91k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,017 winners, 7% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball91,351ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,544ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,433ZAR 24.10
Match 315,017ZAR 22.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball764ZAR 525
Match 4372ZAR 954
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19ZAR 11,013
Match 52ZAR 167,068
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 39,537,289